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11-02-2013
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all for victory
Join Date: Sep 2013
Location: Townsville
Posts: 4,222
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Ive got 54 Hats this year
So heres the thing, Ive got 54 hats so far and i'm wondering HOW many ARE THERE?! Seriously, I've been lucky yes but still I'm surprised im still getting them so heres the hats Ive gotten ( 3 are from the taylorrichards hats i got free): ![]() ![]() ![]()
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11-02-2013
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Enguard & Alumni
Join Date: Sep 2011
Posts: 5,773
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![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() See:
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11-02-2013
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Should be fixed.
Join Date: Aug 2011
Posts: 6,359
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I'm not on RC at the moment, but I'm going to assume the prize-winning handout works like this: You either get tricked or treat. If you get treats, you get a random chance of either gralats or an item. If you get an item, if you already have the item, it gives you gralats instead. So assuming that, if you already have an item instead of randomly trying for another item it just gives you gralats instead. Meaning as you gain more items, you're lowering your chances of getting a new item simply because it doesn't attempt to make sure you always get an item you don't have. I'll verify when I get on tonight. |
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11-02-2013
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Verified ✔️
Join Date: Sep 2011
Location: Australia
Posts: 6,041
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How did you get the free hats
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11-02-2013
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Enguard & Alumni
Join Date: Sep 2011
Posts: 5,773
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11-02-2013
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all for victory
Join Date: Sep 2013
Location: Townsville
Posts: 4,222
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11-02-2013
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Enguard & Alumni
Join Date: Sep 2011
Posts: 5,773
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you can feel free to try and prove me wrong about the Power Rangers hats, I'll be impressed if you can come up with 2 of them good luck |
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11-02-2013
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Should be fixed.
Join Date: Aug 2011
Posts: 6,359
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First, you have the first two chances: 50/50 split of trick or treat. Then, assuming you get a treat, you have a 50/50 chance of gralats or an item. Assuming you get an item, let's hypothetically say there are 50 possible hats to win. Let's also assume you have 40/50 of the hats. If the code simple gives you gralats if you already have an item, we may as well factor in that 40/50 chance into the 50/50 chance of getting gralats. I'm not good at math, but I think that's a 5/100 chance of obtaining a new item instead of gralats. Anyways, I'll verify... right now. Okay, it works like this. You have a low chance of getting an item. An item is any prize that is not a hat or gralats. If you already have an item, it checks if you can get a hat. If you already have the hat, it gives you gralats. Now, you have a larger chance of getting a hat than an item, but lower than a chance of getting gralats. If you have a hat, it tries to give you an item. If you have an item, again, it falls back and just gives you gralats. Point is, if you have an item or hat, it does not try to cycle through and find you a new item. It just gives you gralats. As you obtain more of the items, the chance to get gralats instead increases, as the item slots(all the items you can get) gradually fill up with a gralat reward. If you have 99/100 of items, that's a .0025% chance of getting that last single item alltogether(factoring in the trick/treat). However, I am not particularly good with math, and certainly not of probability. Maybe someone else can verify. |
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11-02-2013
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all for victory
Join Date: Sep 2013
Location: Townsville
Posts: 4,222
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11-02-2013
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The Cooliest?
Join Date: Sep 2012
Posts: 1,117
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Y no red ranger
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11-02-2013
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michael
Join Date: May 2012
Location: Hyrule
Posts: 3,511
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My question is, what are the odds of getting trick/treat?
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11-02-2013
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Carl E.
Join Date: May 2013
Location: hawaii
Posts: 93
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10%
lmao i think my chance is 10% cause i got 21 tricks in a row :/ im not kidding lol
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11-02-2013
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Dark Desert Fox
Join Date: Sep 2011
Location: United States, Ohio
Posts: 5,720
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When does trick-or-treating end?
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11-02-2013
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がはははは
Join Date: Apr 2013
Location: 24/7 in my iPhone
Posts: 37
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It ended just right now. Still had over 500 candies left.*rage* I always think that this candy trading event ends too quickly. Being busy this year and last year, on and after Halloween, I didn't get the chance to get all of my candies to be traded. Half of my candy hunting was such a waste of time. |
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11-02-2013
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Inactive?
Join Date: Jun 2013
Location: Near liverpool(uk)
Posts: 1,676
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