Rusix, what you are trying to say has nothing to do with 'logic'. It is not at all logical to say 'the 1st on the board is most likely to win since he has the most experience'. The 1st one leads in exactly one category: Points. Against who has he/she gotten the points? Nobody will ever know that. Points measure activity and only if there were very many active classy sparrers fighting for the trophy (since then they'd actually fight each other), the meaning of points would get more close to representing skill.
I think what you try to express is that 'being in shape' is a huge factor when it comes to sparring. That is not the case because spar happens in the head. From a certain intensity of sparring on, you don't forget patterns and moves anymore. Please read my previous post in this thread, it will save you so much time
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Tl;dr: activity =/= skill